Friday, January 30, 2009

Productivity Surges in Q4

From 2008 Q3 to 2008Q4, aggregate labor hours fell 7.4% (at an annual rate).

The BEA reported today that aggregate real GDP (that is, aggregate spending) fell only 3.8%.

That means:

  1. Productivity grew 3.6%, and

  2. We have to continue to question the common "wisdom" that spending drops are causing the employment drops. I tend to think that causes are bigger than effects: its the employment drop that causes the spending drop.

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